South Africa: Seasonal rainfall & temperature outlook (April 2024 - July 2024)
The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has released the Seasonal Climate Watch for the period April 2024 to July 2024.
According to the seasonal outlook, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently in a strong El Niño state and is predicted to rapidly decline into a neutral state by early winter. However, as the summer has ended, SAWS expects minimal influence from the current El Niño event that is still in effect.
The SAWS multi-model rainfall forecast indicates mostly below-normal rainfall over most of South Africa during April 2024 and July/August 2024, except for some parts over KwaZulu-Natal, Eastern Cape and Free State for the period from April to June 2024 where above-normal rainfall is expected.
Minimum and maximum temperatures are expected to be mostly above-normal in South Africa for the forecast period (April 2024 to July 2024).
