South Africa: Seasonal rainfall & temperature outlook (July 2024 - November 2024)
The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has released the Seasonal Climate Watch for the period July 2024 to November 2024. According to the seasonal outlook, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently still in a neutral state and is predicted to weaken further. However current predictions are mixed in whether it will weaken towards a La Niña state during South Africa's next summer season.
South Africa is now in the middle of the winter season, and as such weather systems occurring during this season are notoriously difficult to predict at a seasonal timescale. These systems typically have the largest impact along the southern to southeastern coastal areas.
The SAWS multi-model rainfall forecast indicates mostly below-normal rainfall over most of South Africa during July 2024 and November 2024.
Minimum and maximum temperatures are expected to be mostly above-normal countrywide for the forecast period (July 2024 - November 2024).
