South Africa: Seasonal rainfall & temperature outlook (September 2024 - January 2025)
The South AfricanSafa Service (SAWS) has released the Seasonal Climate Watch for the period September 2024 to January 2025. According to the seasonal outlook, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently still in a neutral state and is predicted to weaken further. Current predictions indicate the development of a La Nina state during the start of the summer season, however, there is still significant uncertainty in the predictions.
Current predictions focus on the spring and early summer seasons in South Africa and indicate wetter conditions along the south-eastern coastal areas during spring as well as the central parts in early summer. Drier conditions are expected over most of the north-eastern half of South Africa for the entire forecast period. These predictions may change if the ENSO predictions become more certain towards a La Nina state, and as such continues monitoring of future seasonal climate watches are advised.
Minimum and maximum temperatures are expected to be mostly above-normal in South Africa for the forecast period (September 2024 to January 2025).
