South Africa: Seasonal rainfall & temperature outlook (October 2024 to February 2025)
The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has released the Seasonal Climate Watch for the period October 2024 to February 2025. According to the seasonal outlook, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently still in a neutral state and is predicted to weaken further. Current predictions indicate the development of a La Niña state during the start of the summer season, however, there is still significant uncertainty in the predictions.
Current predictions focus on the early- and mid-summer seasons and indicate wetter conditions over the interior of South Africa. The north-eastern parts however at this stage indicate drier conditions extending through to the mid-summer period. These predictions may change if the ENSO predictions become more certain towards a La Niña state.
Minimum and maximum temperatures are expected to be mostly above-normal in South Africa for the forecast period (October 2024 to February 2025).
