South Africa: Seasonal rainfall & temperature outlook (November 2024 to March 2025)
The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has released the Seasonal Climate Watch for the period November 2024 to March 2025. According to the seasonal outlook, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently still in a neutral state. It is predicted to weaken further and current predictions indicate the development of a weak La Niña state during the start of the summer season. However, there is still significant uncertainty in the predictions. It is advised to monitor the ENSO system during the start of the summer season, as it may change the rainfall outlook for the summer rainfall regions if and when the La Niña materializes.
Current predictions indicate above-normal rainfall for most north-eastern summer rainfall regions
in South Africa during the entire summer period. Some interior regions however still indicate below-normal rainfall during the mid- and late-summer seasons. These predictions may change if the ENSO predictions become more certain towards a La Niña state, and as such continued monitoring of future seasonal climate watches are advised.
Minimum and maximum temperatures in South Africa are expected to be mostly above-normal countrywide for the forecast period (November 2024 to March 2025).
