African Airlines Achieve 9.4% Cargo Growth in July 2025, Outpacing Global Trends

The African aviation sector is celebrating a significant milestone as African airlines recorded a 9.4% increase in air cargo demand in July 2025 compared to the same period last year. This robust growth, highlighted in the latest data released by the International Air Transport Association (IATA), positions Africa as a dynamic player in the global air cargo market, even as the industry navigates shifting trade patterns and evolving economic conditions.

Global Air Cargo Market: A Snapshot

According to IATA’s July 2025 report, total global air cargo demand, measured in cargo tonne-kilometers (CTK), rose by 5.5% year-on-year, with international operations seeing a slightly higher increase of 6.0%. Capacity also expanded, up by 3.9% compared to July 2024. These figures reflect a healthy rebound in air cargo activity, driven by resilient global trade and the gradual normalization of supply chains.

IATA’s Director General, Willie Walsh, emphasized the strength of the sector, stating, “Air cargo demand grew 5.5% in July, a strong result. Most major trade lanes reported growth, with one significant exception: Asia–North America, where demand was down 1.0% year-on-year.” Walsh attributed this dip to a sharp decline in e-commerce, following the expiration of US de minimis exemptions on small shipments. However, he noted that shippers may have frontloaded goods in anticipation of rising tariffs for US imports, suggesting that the full impact of these policy changes will become clearer in the coming months.

Walsh also highlighted the importance of maintaining a broad perspective, noting that “a fifth of air cargo travels on the Europe–Asia trade lane, which marked 29 months of consecutive expansion with 13.5% year-on-year growth in July.” This sustained growth underscores the resilience of global trade corridors and the opportunities they present for African carriers seeking to expand their international reach.

Regional Performance: Africa Leads the Way

While the global market posted solid gains, African airlines outperformed many of their international counterparts. The 9.4% year-on-year increase in July 2025 stands out against the backdrop of more modest growth in other regions. For example, Asia-Pacific airlines saw an 11.1% rise—the highest globally—while North American carriers posted the slowest growth at just 0.7%. European airlines experienced a 4.1% increase, Middle Eastern carriers grew by 2.6%, and Latin American airlines saw a 2.4% uptick in demand.

This strong performance by African airlines is particularly noteworthy given the continent’s relatively small share of the global air cargo market. In 2024, Africa accounted for just 2.0% of total global air cargo, yet its carriers are now demonstrating their ability to capture new opportunities and respond to shifting market dynamics.

Market Drivers: Trade, Fuel, and Policy Shifts

The IATA report points to several factors underpinning the recent surge in air cargo demand. Global goods trade grew by 3.1% year-on-year in June, providing a solid foundation for increased air freight activity. Additionally, jet fuel prices were 9.1% lower year-on-year and have remained below 2024 levels for most of the year, easing operating costs for airlines. However, fuel prices did rise by 4.3% compared to June, reminding carriers of the ongoing volatility in energy markets.

Policy changes, particularly in the United States, are also shaping global air cargo flows. The expiration of de minimis exemptions and the anticipation of new tariffs have prompted shifts in shipping patterns, with some shippers accelerating deliveries to avoid higher costs. These developments are being closely watched by African carriers, who are increasingly integrated into global supply chains and must remain agile in response to regulatory changes.

Implications for Africa’s Aviation Sector

The strong growth in air cargo demand offers several key takeaways for Africa’s aviation industry. First, it highlights the continent’s growing role as a vital link in global trade networks. As African economies diversify and industrialize, demand for efficient, reliable air cargo services is set to rise. This creates opportunities for airlines to invest in fleet expansion, modernize cargo facilities, and develop specialized services tailored to high-value and time-sensitive goods.

Second, the positive trend underscores the importance of regional collaboration and connectivity. African airlines that can offer seamless links between major trade hubs—both within the continent and to international markets—will be well positioned to capture a larger share of the global cargo business. This is especially relevant as new free trade agreements and infrastructure projects come online, further integrating Africa into the world economy.

Finally, the data serves as a reminder of the need for resilience and adaptability. The air cargo sector remains sensitive to external shocks, from fuel price fluctuations to policy changes and geopolitical tensions. African carriers that invest in digitalization, sustainability, and workforce development will be better equipped to navigate these challenges and sustain growth in the years ahead.

Looking Forward: Opportunities and Challenges

As the global air cargo market continues to evolve, Africa’s aviation sector stands at a crossroads. The recent surge in demand is a testament to the continent’s potential, but it also brings new responsibilities. Airlines must balance growth with operational efficiency, environmental stewardship, and customer service excellence. At the same time, governments and industry stakeholders must work together to address infrastructure gaps, streamline regulations, and foster a competitive business environment.

For Africa’s travel and logistics professionals, the message is clear: the future of air cargo is bright, but success will depend on innovation, collaboration, and a relentless focus on quality. As global trade patterns shift and new opportunities emerge, African airlines are well placed to play a leading role in shaping the next chapter of the world’s air cargo story.